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Fault tree analysis is an important technique in determining the safety and dependability of complex systems. Fault trees are used as a major tool in the study of system safety as well as in reliability and availability studies. The basic methods – construction, logical analysis, probability evaluation and influence study – are described in this book. The following extensions of fault trees, non-coherent fault trees, fault trees with delay and multi-performance fault trees, are also explained. Traditional algorithms for fault tree analysis are presented, as well as more recent algorithms based on binary decision diagrams (BDD).

Acclaimed investment experts Peter Treadway and Michael Wong explain how to protect your investments—and even profit—from the coming sovereign default crises A major sovereign default crisis is looming for the so-called developed economies of the world. The result will be a major redistribution of economic wealth and an overhaul of the international financial system on an epic scale. Investing in the Age of Sovereign Defaults: How to Preserve your Wealth in the Coming Crisis explains what lies ahead, and offers invaluable suggestions to help investors avoid massive losses. Explains why the West is headed for a major default crisis and how investors can protect themselves Contends that the value of gold will continue to rise and that sooner or later government debt, including that of the U.S. and Japan, will be shunned Written by investment experts Peter Treadway and Michael Wong The days of the economic status quo are coming to an end. Investing in the Age of Sovereign Defaults shows investors what's coming and what investors must do if they want to escape unscathed.

For traders trying to navigate the increasingly volatile credit default swap market, CDS Delivery Option provides worked-out examples, over 30 charts, a case study of Delphi, and detailed explanations of how the subprime crisis caused the credit crisis and the near collapse of the GSEs. The book includes detailed information on: how to value a CDS contract how to value the delivery option how contract value changes when the yield curve flattens or becomes steeper how contract value changes with bullish or bearish market moves how to figure out when to buy protection and when to sell protection how to hedge CDS risk when and how to unwind a contract prior to settlement when to hold a trade through delivery how to navigate a «squeeze» (when the notional value of contracts going through delivery is larger than the supply of the cheapest-to-deliver issue) when buying contracts can make their prices go down how to construct a basis trade how to find arbitrage opportunities how to analyze default probability and corporate debt when to settle via auction and when to settle via physical delivery which note is the cheapest to deliver This book is an indispensable resource for all market professionals working in the CDS market.