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Geo-mathematical modelling: models from complexity science Sir Alan Wilson, Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis, University College London Mathematical and computer models for a complexity science tool kit Geographical systems are characterised by locations, activities at locations, interactions between them and the infrastructures that carry these activities and flows. They can be described at a great variety of scales, from individuals and organisations to countries. Our understanding, often partial, of these entities, and in many cases this understanding is represented in theories and associated mathematical models. In this book, the main examples are models that represent elements of the global system covering such topics as trade, migration, security and development aid together with examples at finer scales. This provides an effective toolkit that can not only be applied to global systems, but more widely in the modelling of complex systems. All complex systems involve nonlinearities involving path dependence and the possibility of phase changes and this makes the mathematical aspects particularly interesting. It is through these mechanisms that new structures can be seen to ‘emerge’, and hence the current notion of ‘emergent behaviour’. The range of models demonstrated include account-based models and biproportional fitting, structural dynamics, space-time statistical analysis, real-time response models, Lotka-Volterra models representing ‘war’, agent-based models, epidemiology and reaction-diffusion approaches, game theory, network models and finally, integrated models. Geo-mathematical modelling: Presents mathematical models with spatial dimensions. Provides representations of path dependence and phase changes. Illustrates complexity science using models of trade, migration, security and development aid. Demonstrates how generic models from the complexity science tool kit can each be applied in a variety of situations This book is for practitioners and researchers in applied mathematics, geography, economics, and interdisciplinary fields such as regional science and complexity science. It can also be used as the basis of a modelling course for postgraduate students. Получить ссылку |
Contemporary issues of sustainable rural development: international approaches and experiences of Eastern Europe and Russia / Современные аспекты устойчивого развития сельской местности: международные
Автор: Коллектив авторов
Год издания:
Монография предназначена для научных сотрудников, преподавателей, аспирантов и студентов вузов экономических, гуманитарных, сельскохозяйственных и туристических специальностей, а также всех интересующихся современным состоянием и перспективами устойчивого развития сельских территорий, подходами к обеспечению устойчивого развития в разных странах мира, включая Европейский Союз в целом и регион Восточной Европы в частности, Содружество Независимых Государств и Россию. Кроме вопросов устойчивого развития сельских территорий в монографии рассмотрены аспекты повышения устойчивости сельскохозяйственного производства, проблемы обеспечения продовольственной безопасности, современные тенденции международной торговли сельскохозяйственной продукцией и продовольствием в условиях либерализации торговых отношений, перспективы развития сельского туризма как фактора обеспечения устойчивого развития сельских территорий, а также направления рационального природопользования и реализации природного и ресурсного потенциала различных стран. Монография издана за счет средств гранта ФГБОУ ВПО Ставропольский ГАУ в области науки и инноваций для молодых ученых.
The Mystery of Market Movements. An Archetypal Approach to Investment Forecasting and Modelling
Автор: Niklas Hageback
Год издания:
A quantifiable framework for unlocking the unconscious forces that shape markets There has long been a notion that subliminal forces play a great part in causing the seemingly irrational financial bubbles, which conventional economic theory, again and again, fails to explain. However, these forces, sometimes labeled ‘animal spirits’ or ‘irrational exuberance, have remained elusive – until now. The Mystery of Market Movements provides you with a methodology to timely predict and profit from changes in human investment behaviour based on the workings of the collective unconscious. Niklas Hageback draws in on one of psychology's most influential ideas – archetypes – to explain how they form investor’s perceptions and can be predicted and turned into profit. The Mystery of Market Movements provides; A review of the collective unconscious and its archetypes based on Carl Jung’s theories and empirical case studies that highlights and assesses the influences of the collective unconscious on financial bubbles and zeitgeists For the first time being able to objectively measure the impact of archetypal forces on human thoughts and behaviour with a view to provide early warning signals on major turns in the markets. This is done through a step-by-step guide on how to develop a measurement methodology based on an analysis of the language of the unconscious; figurative speech such as metaphors and symbolism, drawn out and deciphered from Big Data sources, allowing for quantification into time series The book is supplemented with an online resource that presents continuously updated bespoken archetypal indexes with predictive capabilities to major financial indexes Investors are often unaware of the real reasons behind their own financial decisions. This book explains why psychological drivers in the collective unconscious dictates not only investment behaviour but also political, cultural and social trends. Understanding these forces allows you to stay ahead of the curve and profit from market tendencies that more traditional methods completely overlook.
Gamechangers. Creating Innovative Strategies for Business and Brands; New Approaches to Strategy, Innovation and Marketing
Автор: Peter Fisk
Год издания:
Shake up and redefine the market by changing your game! A new generation of businesses is rising out of the maelstrom of economic and technological change across our world. These companies are shaking up the world. In Gamechangers Peter Fisk has sought out the brands and businesses, large and small, from every continent, who are changing the game… and shows how we can learn the best new approaches to strategy and leadership, innovation and marketing from them. ‘Gamechangers’ are disruptive and innovative, they are more ambitious, with stretching vision and enlightened purpose. They find their own space, then shape it in their own vision. Most of all they have great ideas. They outthink their competition, thinking bigger and different. They don’t believe in being slightly cheaper or slightly better. Why be 10% better, when you could be 10 times better? Gamechangers is built around 10 themes that are shaping the future of business, brought to life with 100 case studies from across the world, and 16 practical canvases to make the best ideas happen in your business. The book is supported by a range of seminars, workshops and digital resources. Gamechangers offers guidance on: Thinking smarter and acting faster Embracing the new tricks of business Understanding how gamechangers dream and disrupt Delivering practical results and winning
Using Excel for Business Analysis. A Guide to Financial Modelling Fundamentals
Автор: Danielle Stein Fairhurst
Год издания:
Utilise Excel 2013 capabilities to build effective financial models Using Excel for Business Analysis, Revised Edition provides practical guidance for anyone looking to build financial models. Whether for business proposals, opportunity evaluation, financial reports, or any other business finance application, this book shows you how to design, create, and test your model, then present your results effectively using Excel 2013. The book opens with a general guide to financial modelling, with each subsequent chapter building skill upon skill until you have a real, working model of your own. Financial tools, features, and functions are covered in detail from a practical perspective, and put in context with application to real-world examples. Each chapter focuses on a different aspect of Excel modelling, including step-by-step instructions that walk you through each feature, and the companion website provides live model worksheets that give you the real hands-on practice you need to start doing your job faster, more efficiently, and with fewer errors. Financial modelling is an invaluable business tool, and Excel 2013 is capable of supporting the most common and useful models most businesses need. This book shows you how to dig deeper into Excel's functionality to craft effective financial models and provide important information that informs good decision-making. Learn financial modelling techniques and best practice Master the formulas and functions that bring your model to life Apply stress testing and sensitivity analysis with advanced conditionals Present your results effectively, whether graphically, orally, or written A deceptively powerful application, Excel supports many hundreds of tools, features, and functions; Using Excel for Business Analysis eliminates the irrelevant to focus on those that are most useful to business finance users, with detailed guidance toward utilisation and best practice.
Mathematical Mindsets. Unleashing Students' Potential through Creative Math, Inspiring Messages and Innovative Teaching
Автор: Джо Боулер
Год издания:
Banish math anxiety and give students of all ages a clear roadmap to success Mathematical Mindsets provides practical strategies and activities to help teachers and parents show all children, even those who are convinced that they are bad at math, that they can enjoy and succeed in math. Jo Boaler—Stanford researcher, professor of math education, and expert on math learning—has studied why students don't like math and often fail in math classes. She's followed thousands of students through middle and high schools to study how they learn and to find the most effective ways to unleash the math potential in all students. There is a clear gap between what research has shown to work in teaching math and what happens in schools and at home. This book bridges that gap by turning research findings into practical activities and advice. Boaler translates Carol Dweck's concept of 'mindset' into math teaching and parenting strategies, showing how students can go from self-doubt to strong self-confidence, which is so important to math learning. Boaler reveals the steps that must be taken by schools and parents to improve math education for all. Mathematical Mindsets: Explains how the brain processes mathematics learning Reveals how to turn mistakes and struggles into valuable learning experiences Provides examples of rich mathematical activities to replace rote learning Explains ways to give students a positive math mindset Gives examples of how assessment and grading policies need to change to support real understanding Scores of students hate and fear math, so they end up leaving school without an understanding of basic mathematical concepts. Their evasion and departure hinders math-related pathways and STEM career opportunities. Research has shown very clear methods to change this phenomena, but the information has been confined to research journals—until now. Mathematical Mindsets provides a proven, practical roadmap to mathematics success for any student at any age.
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